Everyone has a friend whose betting strategy is simple as it is stupid: lay chalk across the board. He tries to convince you taking USC -45 over Washington State is the lock of the week despite the fact that the Trojans have yet to cross the 30-point barrier all season. The Yankees at -325 with CC on the mound? No problem, the Yanks have won nine straight! You forget to inform him he hasn’t done his homework because the Evil Empire clinched the night before and is starting their AAA lineup behind Sabathia. Sometimes these chalk bettors just need to learn a lesson. Now you have to lend this chump buffet money for the rest of the trip because he forgot the number one sports handicapping rule: don’t fall in love with favorites.

Laying chalk is a strategy oddsmakers easily countered with inflated spreads, run/pucklines (my obligatory hockey shout out for the year) and severely juiced moneylines. In a sport like baseball, the best team usually hovers around a .600 winning percentage so why risk taking any team at higher than -150? The only value you can find here is creating your own teaser or parlay, and well, we all know how that goes. (link to last entry here)

This leads us to the 2009 NFL season. In my season opening blog at Coopers Sports Picks and not a fish blog, I did my best to steer anyone who works hard for their money as far away from the No Fun League as possible. That was before weeks 1-7 proceeded to destroy my “NFL is the perfect parity machine” theory. This season has officially mutated into a chalk bettor’s heaven. The big dogs (Saints, Giants, Colts) are covering double-digit spreads with ease. This past week we saw favorites go 9-2-1 with six teams covering a touchdown or larger spread. Every week the sharps have warned Joe Public that the all-knowing oddsmakers will even out this number with painful results for those who choose to jump on the chalk bandwagon. The result? We’re one week away from mid-season and the favorites just keep on rolling. A fourth-quarter Saints flurry to erase a 21-point deficit over the Dolphins guaranteed that the NFL would have three undefeated teams (Saints, Broncos, Colts) heading into week eight for the first time in league history. Obviously the Football odds are where they are at for a reason and clearly, we are on unprecedented ground with this trend.

Enough crying. What can we do about this?

Pay close attention to scheduling. Many teams are entering the teeth of their division schedules. Look for value in the underdogs in the tougher divisions (AFC East/North, NFC East) in interdivision games. Division play features more familiarity between coaching schemes, similar pace, and less travel. You can worry less about a jetlagged teams history in mountain-central time or how a southern team will handle sleet and opposing fans’ snowballs once they are playing the majority of their remaining games within their division.

Stay away from heavy road chalk. Everyone is well aware that large road favorites are covering at record pace this season but remember again we are entering division play where double-digit blowouts are rare. The majority of road blowouts this season haven’t happened in traditional matchups, they’ve happened in once every five year matchups such as the Giants-Bucs, Saints-Bills, Jets-Raiders.
Create a tier-system for teams. Teams ranked in the lowest tier (Rams, Bucs, Chiefs, Browns) qualify as candidates to risk large spreads against in the right situation. Mid-tier teams (Dolphins, Titans, Seahawks) who have faced a brutal 1st half schedules warrant strong consideration if they are getting points against top-tier teams, especially when they’re at home. For the record, I’m willing to wager my lunch money that the Titans finish .500 or better the second half of the season.

Finally, don’t read too much into the chalk trend. Focus on individual matchups and crunch numbers instead. Some weeks you’ll come up with more favorites, others you’ll have a stable of dogs. Either way, make sure you’re picking based on your research rather than blindly following a trend or gut feeling.

I know this season has thrown our chalk loving friends a slow fastball down the middle. We might be even be questioning our own time consuming research and considering abandoning discussion with fellow handicappers in the forums. Resist the urge to switch horses midstream. There’s plenty of football left to be played. Don’t forget every dog has his day.

Link: http://masterlockline.com/index.php?PageID=53

A few people have asked the power of 620 sports services behind every selection, the MasterLockLine about radio handicapper Lee Sterling of Paramount Sports. Cy McCormick owner of the MasterLockLine said that he’s pretty decent with WAC selections, but only three times the last two-plus years has his picks been strong enough to be releases on the MasterLockLine. (http://masterlockline.com/index.php?PageID=53)

Because the MasterLockLine monitors each and every one of the nation’s top sports service, handicappers, tip sheets and syndicates, you will get every Game of the Year play worth betting. Every last one in the industry is yours. That’s why you get more legitimate service Games of the Year on the MasterLockLine than anyone else.

The top football handicapper in history is Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com (http://www.offshoreinsiders.com/)

Lee Sterling’s radio infomercials are very good though.

Link: http://www.offshoreinsiders.com/index.php?PageID=53

Phil Steel is a high profile NFL and college football handicapper. But how does he rank? The MasterLockLine has the top plays from the top sports services in their highest ranked sports.

Cy McCormick of the MasterLockLine says that out of 620 sports service monitored, Phil Steel’s Northcoast sports ranks 56th all-time in the NFL and 77th in college football. Only the top 43 in the NFL and 51 in college football handicapping have a positive lifetime record.

http://www.offshoreinsiders.com/index.php?PageID=53 has the biggest plays of the best handicappers.

Link: http://www.covers-experts.com/

Football is a sport deeply embedded in American sporting culture. I am not referring to soccer ofcourse. What I am referring to is American Football. It has continually influence the lives of many insofar as their sporting lives are concerned. This is so since football is a very fascinating game. It is fast moving, fun and sometimes painful to watch, especially when players tackle each other. And while some may refer to it as a bit rough, it nevertheless has some grace to it, which if appreciated in the right manner, might seem polished. To say however that it is as graceful as ballet for example, would be pushing it.

American football is a tough sport. This is characterized by the sport in that, to be an effective football player, one should have the right size so that they may be able to compete properly with other players. This is not to say ofcourse that all football players are huge. There are also a few exceptions. And one of them is Doug Flutie. This rather short man, having American Football as basis, grew to be one of the greatest quarterbacks in football. But the highlight of his career was when he was in college.

College football as differentiated with pro football is faster, and more aggressive. This is evidenced by the fact that players in it are younger compared to that of pro football. But when we are talking about the play that takes place between these leagues, there is no doubt that the plays being executed in pro football is more refined and polished. Also, players in pro football are more mature when it comes to the execution of plays and also of filling in their roles. Such that pro football is a different level compared to that of college football.

With the love of football deeply embedded in American culture, what follows it, like any other sports, are betting on the game. Betting in sports happen even if what is concerned is college sports. And in this case, college football. According to those who love to gamble, by betting on sports, it makes the game more interesting. It makes it more fascinating. People who often bet on college football experience the kind of thrill that other people who are not betting don’t feel. This is because they have their money on the line and by having it on the line, there will be a different thrill on it.

But you should be careful in placing your bets, you should ask help in determining your chances of winning. This is important since heavy gamblers often place bet “above of the ordinary” amount. Espn College Football Picks can help you. One place wherein there are advices are Espn College Football Picks. Espn College Football Picks is a good way to educate yourself for smart betting. Espn College Football Picks will help you determine your chances of winning. It is for this reason that you should try to look at Espn College Football Picks.

Published At: Isnare Free Articles Directory http://www.isnare.com
Permanent Link: http://www.isnare.com/?aid=295180&ca=Recreation

Chris Grisham is the creator of Sportsbook Investing, the premier website for making money with espn college football picks. He has successfully been beating sportsbooks for years using his proven system and top sports picks based on lines, trends, angles, and years of experience. Learn about his system for FREE at http://www.SportsbookInvesting.com

Link: http://www.covers-experts.com/

Football betting is the most popular form of online wagering, and offers a wide variety of betting lines for both NFL and college football betting. There are generally seven different types of bets utilized when betting on football. These forms of wagering consist of straight bets, over/under bets, money line bets, parlays, teasers, half time wagers, and future book wagers.

The simplest and most common type of bet placed in NFL and college football betting is the straight bet. In this instance the bettor is simply betting on which football team will win or lose the game. The team bet on must win by the pointspread that was given at the time the wager was placed. Unless specified otherwise, the football betting odds for a straight bet are eleven to ten.

Another relatively simple bet to make when betting football is an over/under bet. Placing an over/under bet means that you are betting on what the combined point total will be by the end of the football game. You can either bet on whether the actual number of points is going to be over or under the total.

With regard to football betting, a money line bet only requires that the football team wagered on win the game. The money line that is read at the time the football bet is made is the money line you keep regardless of any future line movements.

Parlay bets are a multiple form of football betting where a group of straight bets are placed, or totals are combined into one bet. Although all of your NFL and college football picks must win in order to collect on a parlay bet, this type of football betting offers an extra incentive for the bettor. The linesmaker offers extra money to a bettor that is able to correctly pick more than one game at a time. As a result, you can win large amounts of money when betting football with very limited risk.

Teaser bets are similar to parlays in that they are multiple football bets combined into the same wager, and all of your picks must win in order to collect on this type of wager in football betting. The difference between a teaser bet and a parlay bet is that with a teaser bet you are allowed to add or subtract points in order to make the bet stronger.

In football betting, half time wagers are bets made only on the outcome of a game or series scheduled to occur at some future date. The line offered for betting on football will either be a pointspread, money line, or a combination of both lines. The football bet placed applies only to the score of the half of the game specified.

A future wager made in football betting is a bet that is based on the outcome of a game or series scheduled to occur at some future date. A future wager is final and there are no refunds or switching of teams permitted at any time. Football betting odds may change on a daily basis, and all bets are considered action at the odds quoted at the time the future bet is placed.

While these seven different types of wagers are not the only methods used in football betting, they are the most common kinds of bets placed. Before betting on football or any other sporting event, make sure you are familiar with the online sportsbook that you choose and the different betting options that are offered. It could make the difference in whether you win or lose.

John Kreck USA http://www.bettingbookweb.com/